Russia and cis at the us national intelligence council reports global trends. The nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future. Global trends to 2035 geopolitics and international power this study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power.
The atlantic council s brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. A publication of the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Global governance 2025 federation of american scientists. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Every four years since 1997, the national intelligence council has published an unclassified strategic assessment of how key trends and uncertainties might shape the world over the next 20 years to help senior us leaders think and plan for the longer term. Implications for the united states, national intelligence council. We sought out and drew heavily on experts outside the intelligence. This study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the council s latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. A transformed world globalizing economy, demographics of discord, new players, scarcity in the midst of plenty, potential for conflict, powersharing in a multipolar world by national intelligence council, u. National intelligence council office of the director of national intelligence. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations.
Us national intelligence council global trends 2030. Although global governance institutions have racked up many successes since their development after the second world war, the growing number. In december 2016, the outgoing and incoming administrations were given global trends. How to read the national intelligence council s latest global trends report by ellen laipson tuesday. Recent chinese leadership priorities and their implications for the united states, national intelligence council, 30 june 1999.
Paradox of progress, the sixth edition in the national intelligence council s nic series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Rising powers will see exploiting the opportunities afforded by the emerging global marketplace as the best way to assert their great power status on the world stage. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Tables are broken, charts are hard to understand and the book has.
Pdf russia and cis at the us national intelligence. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project is the third unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. In the run up to this summers nominating conventions, both parties frontrunners have intensified their campaign rhetoric about a range of issues, especially foreign policy. In creating the report, the nic engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the policymaking, business, media, and technology communities in the united states and from around the world in an unprecedented gathering to discuss.
A transformed world sohn comments on the global trends report, the fourth installment of the nics effort to identify key. Worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. A decade ago, the nic warned world leaders that a global pandemic would hit the. Global trends website open pdf 28 kb every four years since 1997, the national intelligence council has published an unclassified strategic assessment of how key trends and uncertainties might shape the world over the next 20 years to help senior us leaders think and plan for the longer term. This file contains additional information such as exif metadata which may have been added by the digital camera, scanner, or software program used to create or digitize it. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events.
Sri consulting business intelligence i to support the development of the national intelligence council s global trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sricbi was asked to identify six potentially disruptive civil or dual use technologies that could emerge. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. What a difference four years makeor is it merely an ideological shift the national intelligence council has been doing every few years projections of global trends for 2010 2015 2020 and just. At a critical juncture inquiries regarding this report may be made to mathew burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, on 703 4820741 and to the eu institute of security studies on 0033156891951. Most forecasts indicate that by 2020 chinas gross national product gnp will. This week, the national intelligence council released its quadrennial report about global trends, and its a sober read. The nics most recent global trends report, global trends. Global trends office of the director of national intelligence.
Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world. Trends and projections, 19992000, national intelligence council, august 1999. Global governancethe collective management of common problems at the international levelis at a critical juncture. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next decade and a half to influence world events.
For nearly two decades, the national intelligence councils global trends report has been shaping strategic conversations within and beyond the u. For example, the national intelligence council nic produced the global trends. A transformed world the national intelligence council s 2025 project. Paradox of progress january 2017 open pdf 17 mb this edition of global trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The national intelligence council nic serves as the us intelligence communitys center for the longterm strategic analysis. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Coronavirus potential emergence of a global pandemic. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future. In creating the report, the nic engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project is the third unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. National intelligence council 2008 global trends 2025.
How to read the national intelligence councils latest. The global trends report, unveiled monday, is produced every four years by the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. A transformed world nic november 2008 march 17 2020 the national intelligence council nic was formed in 1979. The book is available online for free in pdf format. National intelligence council global governance 2025.
Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. National intelligence council global governance 2025 report september 28, 2010. Global trends 2015 is not a traditional intelligence product based on classic intelligence sources, methods and procedures. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence council s quadrennial global trends report is. In support of the global trends 2020 project of the national intelligence council 2526 may 2004 at the cna corporation, alexandria, virginia foreword on may 2526, the cna corporation held a conference on the changing nature of warfare on behalf of the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds office of the director of national intelligence. Chatham house ch and the us national intelligence council nic organized a.
Since 1979, the nic has served a bridge between the intelligence and policy communitiesas well as a facilitator for outreach to outside experts. United states national intelligence council us nic. The national intelligence council gave overall direction to the yearlong effort, assisted by colleagues from other intelligence agencies and offices. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. The report is timed to be especially relevant for the.
A publication of the national intelligence council national intelligence council, penny hill press on. Global trends arose from a 1996 series of conferences held by the national intelligence council and the institute for national strategic studies. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. Mapping the global future 2020 project chatham house.
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